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President Barack Obama, in an account beforehand this year with New Yorker editor David Remnick, offered an adverse comparison. “The affinity we use about actuality sometimes, and I anticipate is accurate,” the admiral said, “is if a jayvee aggregation puts on Lakers uniforms that doesn’t accomplish them Kobe Bryant.”

The president’s jayvee jihadists were the Islamic State militants.

Remnick alleged the affinity “uncharacteristically flip.” Afterwards all, the group’s banderole again flew over Fallujah.

Today, the Islamic State boasts a net account in the hundreds of millions of dollars, a amount of battle-hardened fighters that dwarfs the associates of amount al Qaeda and an all-embracing afterward ample abundant to abutment a brick-and-mortar allowance boutique in Turkey.

Somewhere forth the line, these insurgents went professional. The CIA and the administering promptly took blaze for declining to see it coming. But is that criticism fair? Was the abrupt acceleration of the Islamic State insurgents, to use a loaded term, an “intelligence failure?”

Well no, it wasn’t. In fact, we accept known, and abide to know, a abundant accord about the Islamic State extremists. Its well-documented advance in aboriginal June, back it was accepted as the Islamic State of Syria and the Levant, has been a goldmine for journalism’s infographic industry. For all that we apperceive about the group, though, we don’t accept a absolute action to adverse it.

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No abundance of intelligence can ample that vacuum. It’s the policy, stupid.

So what will it booty to exhausted the Islamic State insurgents? The accomplishments Obama took this anniversary are welcome: airstrikes to anticipate the Islamist militants from demography Erbil; the accouterment of weapons to adventurous peshmerga fighters and altruistic aid to the Yazidis abandoned on Mount Sinjar in 120-degree heat.

But Obama is appropriate to appeal action changes in Iraq, too. The alarm is active on Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s tenure. While Prime Minister-designate Haider el-Abadi works to anatomy a added across-the-board government, Maliki still has the befalling to leave ability with a bit of address — but leave he must.

Abadi’s new government charge abolish Maliki’s assembly from chief aggressive positions and restore U.S.-trained commanders who accept becoming the adherence of their forces. A fair acceding for administration oil acquirement amid the country’s indigenous blocs charge be formed out. Sunni tribes charge adios the atrocious and abandoned Sunni-on-Sunni abandon of the Islamic State, as they did in 2007, back their Awakening was a key allotment of the defeat of al Qaeda in Iraq.

You can’t accomplish acceptable action out of bad intelligence. But acceptable intelligence doesn’t agreement acceptable policy. What absolutely do we charge from the intelligence association then, above what we’re already getting?

Virtually all the advice that policymakers ask for in the Middle East is tactical. We assignment the intelligence association to acquaint us the targets and locations for air and bombinate strikes. Back the attacks of September 11, 2001, this is the affectionate of advice that our agencies accept gotten awfully acceptable at gathering. Rather than scapegoating spies, policymakers should alpha allurement altered questions.

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Let’s ask our intelligence agencies to anticipate bigger. We charge to apperceive added about accessible adept relations amid alarm groups.

The Islamic State, for example, has admiring ample numbers of Western authorization holders who could facilitate adult bomb plots with the aid of able jihadists, like al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s artisan bombmaker Ibrahim al-Asiri. This would be a baleful collaboration. It looks like too few accept focused on the likelihood of it demography place.

The intelligence association additionally needs to appraise the affairs and intentions of the Islamic State insurgents in Syria, Lebanon and Jordan. An Iraq-only U.S. action ability absolutely drive added angry into these countries afterwards diluting the threat.

We charge a far added aggressive messaging effort. U.S. abutment should aim to empower the best impulses on the arena and accord Iraq the allowance to assignment out its politics. To do that — to boom up the local, bounded and all-embracing abutment the Iraqi government needs — we charge to clear a wide-angle vision: an American anecdotal for the broader Middle East that lays out a U.S. role in allowance to actualize stability, aphorism of law and bread-and-butter prosperity.

For starters, acutely communicating the Islamic State militants’ acute animality adjoin Sunni Muslims could advice win the altercation with abstinent elements in Iraq, Syria and beyond. Our Ukraine policy, while not perfect, is an archetype of how to bigger accommodate intelligence, messaging and strategy.

General Stanley McChrystal already accepted that the accouter is ample adjoin the intelligence community. “[As] an operator,” he said, “you consistently apprentice that a acknowledged mission is an operational achievement of genius. Anything that fails is an intelligence failure.”

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Unfair, apparently — but so it goes. With the amplification of the CIA’s operational role back September 11, abounding accept developed acclimated to cerebration that cloaks and acrimony (with the casual airstrike) are the adopted band-aid to every foreign-policy problem. Obama charge move above that mindset. Confronting the Islamic State insurgents requires a cardinal adapt according to the threat.

PHOTO (TOP): Displaced bodies from the boyhood Yazidi sect, beat abandon from armament loyal to the Islamic State in Sinjar town, airing against the Syrian border, on the outskirts of Mount Sinjar, abreast the Syrian bound boondocks of Elierbeh of Al-Hasakah Governorate, August 11, 2014. REUTERS/Rodi Said

PHOTO (INSERT 1): Members of the Kurdish aegis armament booty allotment in an accelerated aegis deployment afterwards clashes with militants of the Islamic State, aforetime accepted as the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, in Jalawla, Diyala province, August 12, 2014. REUTERS/Stringer 

PHOTO (INSERT 2): A displaced ancestors from the boyhood Yazidi camp waits for aliment while comatose at the Iraqi-Syrian bound bridge in Fishkhabour, Dohuk province, August 13, 2014. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal

PHOTO (INSERT 3): Displaced bodies from the boyhood Yazidi sect, beat the abandon in the Iraqi boondocks of Sinjar, re-enter Iraq from Syria at the Iraqi-Syrian bound bridge in Fishkhabour, Dohuk province, August 10, 2014. REUTERS/Ari Jalal

PHOTO (INSERT 4): A F/A-18E Super Hornet of Strike Fighter Squadron acreage on the flight accouter of the aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush, in the Gulf, August 12, 2014. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed

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